Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.007414 0.008717 0.010279 0.012318 0.014954 0.018311 0.023022
2025-03-23 0.005687 0.007214 0.009256 0.012286 0.016857 0.023852 0.036194
2025-03-30 0.004633 0.006150 0.008320 0.011822 0.017703 0.028032 0.050113
2025-04-06 0.003989 0.005479 0.007724 0.011595 0.018701 0.032810 0.069182
2025-04-13 0.003618 0.005123 0.007502 0.011866 0.020615 0.040354 0.103523
2025-04-20 0.003401 0.004959 0.007536 0.012570 0.023633 0.052432 0.173454
2025-04-27 0.003181 0.004752 0.007451 0.013015 0.026291 0.065928 0.290817
2025-05-04 0.002938 0.004469 0.007179 0.013005 0.027871 0.077835 0.460697
2025-05-11 0.002731 0.004222 0.006930 0.012979 0.029419 0.091582 0.767059
2025-05-18 0.002524 0.003950 0.006594 0.012682 0.030094 0.102909 1.229172
2025-05-25 0.002311 0.003647 0.006159 0.012064 0.029568 0.108372 1.756133
2025-06-01 0.002131 0.003389 0.005784 0.011522 0.029111 0.114171 2.610581
2025-06-08 0.002017 0.003257 0.005678 0.011710 0.031550 0.143949 9.191883
2025-06-15 0.001896 0.003103 0.005509 0.011717 0.033480 0.177472 67.738649
2025-06-22 0.001756 0.002896 0.005202 0.011284 0.033514 0.197318 1739.210599
2025-06-29 0.001648 0.002743 0.004991 0.011071 0.034394 0.230588 NaN
2025-07-06 0.001583 0.002669 0.004946 0.011326 0.037588 0.309917 NaN
2025-07-13 0.001549 0.002652 0.005028 0.011985 0.043400 0.487344 NaN
2025-07-20 0.001502 0.002604 0.005030 0.012402 0.048479 0.744724 NaN
2025-07-27 0.001436 0.002511 0.004911 0.012393 0.051149 1.012456 NaN
2025-08-03 0.001375 0.002423 0.004794 0.012369 0.053828 1.406697 NaN
2025-08-10 0.001307 0.002315 0.004617 0.012091 0.054592 1.769098 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001231 0.002184 0.004370 0.011512 0.052768 1.879202 NaN